Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 15.933204 18.475440 21.232886 24.438375 28.054295 31.998821 36.619135
2025-09-14 11.851899 15.396647 19.618313 24.978915 31.562802 39.340942 49.176845
2025-09-21 9.064894 12.913498 17.852741 24.571649 33.375970 44.413043 59.171725
2025-09-28 7.109254 10.975509 16.267147 23.896148 34.443605 48.319378 67.722377
2025-10-05 6.397852 10.547251 16.529189 25.560719 38.581646 56.360298 82.081604
2025-10-12 5.754289 10.076172 16.608407 26.887902 42.268666 63.964481 96.293111
2025-10-19 5.003023 9.296331 16.091385 27.219251 44.467580 69.554436 107.978698
2025-10-26 4.355097 8.567409 15.533343 27.376812 46.346901 74.727162 119.301637
2025-11-02 3.725789 7.760052 14.728320 27.019120 47.342264 78.581604 128.835528
2025-11-09 3.170168 6.988420 13.872497 26.457006 47.913687 81.759632 137.456471
2025-11-16 2.690275 6.275651 13.019404 25.785477 48.206231 84.460240 145.421738
2025-11-23 2.235284 5.530028 12.003216 24.700478 47.676151 85.758819 151.181929
2025-11-30 2.006140 5.242603 11.862345 25.275314 50.210107 92.468214 166.463713
2025-12-07 1.789606 4.949323 11.684062 25.786339 52.723012 99.395653 182.681696
2025-12-14 1.518379 4.472333 11.060878 25.360086 53.483234 103.379671 194.227395
2025-12-21 1.269456 3.991366 10.351422 24.664576 53.652554 106.309355 204.107398
2025-12-28 1.226843 4.031288 10.791390 26.374915 58.549583 117.900708 229.563640
2026-01-04 1.162083 3.998069 11.057845 27.738428 62.860861 128.667345 254.098576
2026-01-11 1.041731 3.782223 10.864145 28.078811 65.148178 135.843640 272.593864
2026-01-18 0.926549 3.554053 10.605564 28.240666 67.071729 142.434262 290.339910
2026-01-25 0.800953 3.261706 10.140334 27.873220 67.852725 146.886438 304.369197
2026-02-01 0.683915 2.964596 9.613863 27.295744 68.126441 150.354653 316.715008
2026-02-08 0.579392 2.679054 9.069667 26.605804 68.084831 153.178604 327.955158